A wet weather pattern moves in for the middle of the week.
Rain will be off and on throughout the day Wednesday. It will be gray and dreary, with afternoon temperatures mainly in the 50s. Central Virginia will actually have cooler afternoon temperatures than morning temperatures due to a sinking cold front. Pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall are possible at times, but the heaviest rainfall is expect overnight Wednesday and into Thursday. The rain showers Wednesday will soak the ground ahead of Thursday’s rainfall, which will lead to flooding concerns.
A system will pull plenty of moisture from the Gulf and will bring the chance for heavy rainfall for Thursday. Models have indicated that 1.5 – 3″ of rainfall is possible within 12 to 24 hours. Localized higher amounts are possible in portions of Southside Virginia and the New River Valley. Flooding is a potential threat, so we’ll continue to keep you updated as we approach the middle of the week. The National Weather Service has issued an Areal Flood Watch for much of Southwest Virginia. Due to the saturated ground and heavy rainfall in the forecast, these two factors will lead to favorable flooding conditions. Stay alert as you head out and remember: Turn Around, Don’t Drown. Never try to cross a flooded roadway. Creeks and streams will fill up quickly and rivers will run fast.
We could even see some storms move through the area late in the day Thursday, which could result in damaging wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Risk for severe weather for Thursday in portions of Central Virginia and Southside. The main concern is damaging wind gusts embedded in strong to severe thunderstorms. Lightning is possible with these storms as well.
The system will pass to our east, and skies will begin to clear throughout the day Friday due to the winds picking up. Rain will linger into early Friday and mountain snow showers are possible.
There is the potential for light snow showers along our west-facing slopes and another wave of moisture for late in the day Saturday as a disturbance moves through. While we’re mainly expecting snow, some of the snow could make its way into the Roanoke Valley and Central Virginia overnight Saturday and into Sunday. However, the wet ground will inhibit much of the snow from sticking to the ground. Drier weather is expected across much of Southwest Virginia for Sunday.
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