After a day of mist and gray conditions over the mountains and foothills and sunshine in the Piedmont our pattern will get a bit interesting Tuesday morning. A line of heavy rain is slated to arrive around the pre-dawn hours and provide the region with another round of rain. This next round may have some robust storms associated with them. The line of rain is associated with a cold front that will slide through the region. The rain ahead of the front will be heavy at times and the Storm Prediction Center has placed our SE counties in the Marginal Risk for Severe Storms. The timing of the line and the intensity of the storms will go hand in hand.
As the storms move across the Mountains during the early morning hours they may not have as much volatility associated with them as it will be rather cool. As they progress east during the mid to late morning, they may gain a bit of power from the sun and get a bit more intense. Gusty winds are likely to be the main issue with the cells as they get into the Piedmont so that is the reason for the Marginal Risk category.
Once the line passes the region is in for a few days of dry weather. There will be a building area of high pressure so some clearing skies will result. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front as well and the region should be on the cooler side.
Wednesday looks to be quiet and dry with a bit of a breeze from the west and northwest. The temps should be about normal with highs in the middle to upper 60s in the lower elevations and the 50s and low 60s in the higher locations. Plenty of sunshine is expected.
Thursday will start out as one of the cooler days this week as clear and dry air Wednesday into Thursday will allow temperature readings to be in the 30s. Another round of Frost Advisories may be initiated by the NWS, so get ready to protect your perishable plants. Sunshine will allow us to get back into the 60s most locations.
Friday looks to be the day of transition with another round of rain slated for the area. The jury is still out with the timing and intensity of the line of showers that is expected later Friday into Saturday but for now I am going with rain late in the day or evening Friday. The rain on Saturday looks to be in the southern tier counties but there is a lot of time and a mountain of variable to sort through before we etch that in stone.
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