The pattern of dry and mild continues as the region is well into the run of above normal temps and plenty of sunshine. The early taste of winter’s chill was short lived over this past weekend as the temps dipped below freezing in some locations during the night. The work week has been quite the opposite with contrary temperatures in the upper 70s and low 80s in the afternoons. This will continue into the weekend but now we will introduce some cloud cover and a bit of rain.
Friday looks to be the day of transition as the skies will see more clouds as the day moves along. Temps will still be well above normal, topping out in the middle to upper 70s. The chance for rain is not in the forecast but this is an important day in the pre-rain event as the atmosphere has to get saturated down to the surface before rain has the chance to fall all the way to the ground. So, Friday we set up the atmosphere with increasing cloud cover. The rain is expected to arrive from the west Saturday, but don’t expect much in the way of a washout. The rain Saturday will be spotty and light.
Saturday will still be mild with temps in the low 70s to middle 70s, but partly to mostly cloudy skies. The rain will arrive from the west late in the day, although the Highlands and NRV will see rain a bit earlier. The amount of rain will be light, not much in the way of soaking rains, but the grounds will get some much-needed water. The area has only seen three days of rain this month, but the buckets were filled with nearly 2” combined over the 10th, 11th and 12th. But not much else on our other days so the region is a bit on the dry side. October is one of the dries months of the year, with an average precipitation amount of 2.89” (tied with February for the lowest amount of precip) so this is not out of the ordinary. But, a little rain to help with the winter grass I just put down.
Sunday will be much cooler as the rain expected Saturday will be associated with a cold front. The highs on Sunday are likely to be in the upper 50s to low 60s in the Piedmont and Roanoke Valley and the mid to upper 50s in the Highlands and NRV. Spotty rain will linger in the morning but not much past the middle of the morning. Dry and mild weather returns on Monday and Tuesday with some showers arriving near the middle to end of the week.
Halloween looks dry at the moment.
As for the tropics, Epsilon has been settling down after explosive growth and intensification yesterday to a Cat 3. Bermuda is getting some rough surf and wind and some high tides, but not a direct hit, merely a glancing blow.
The NHC is keeping an eye on a disturbance in the NW Caribbean. If this becomes a named storm, Zeta, this will tie the record set in 2005 for the most named storms in a season…27.
Stay safe and healthy
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