Pinpoint Weather: Warm and muggy Wednesday with chance for late-day storms

Weather Blog

(WFXR) — The area of high pressure that kept much of Southwest and Central Virginia relatively dry for the past few days is moving off toward the east. A passing cold front will bring our next chance for rain Wednesday.

High temperatures for Wednesday will mainly be in the warm 80s. As the cold front approaches the region, humidity levels will creep up and rain chances will gradually increase. Although a few spotty showers are possible during the morning hours, better rain chances are expected along and east of the Blue Ridge during the afternoon and evening. A few of these scattered storms may become strong to severe. The main concerns with stronger storms will be gusty winds and some hail. Some rotation is possible with these storms, more so east of US 29.  The Storm Prediction Center has much of Southwest and Central Virginia under the Marginal Risk Category.

Once the cold front passes through the region, humidity levels will drop and cloud cover will begin to decrease. A few lingering showers cannot be ruled out early Thursday, but more sunshine is on the way. Highs will be in the 70s in the mountains with upper 70 to lower 80s elsewhere throughout the area.

It will be a cooler, almost chilly, start to Friday. With mostly clear skies and calm winds in the forecast overnight Thursday, morning temperatures will be in the 50s and upper 40s. Expect plenty of sunshine in the forecast for Friday with high temperatures in the 70s and lower 80s.

An area of high pressure will dominate the weekend forecast. Skies will generally be mostly sunny and high temperatures will be in the seasonal upper 70s and lower/middle 80s for Saturday. As the area of high pressure moves east on Sunday, we’ll notice high temperatures in the warmer 80s and lower 90s.

The warming trend will continue into the beginning of next week. Rain chances remain limited for Monday and Tuesday with temperatures making their way into the middle 80s – lower 90s.

Tracking the Tropics

As of 2:00 a.m. Wednesday, Larry remains a Category 3 hurricane. The storm is expected to weaken into a Category 2 hurricane later in the day. However, Larry is still a “fish storm.” Little impacts are expected other than some high surf and rip current issues along the East Coast.

A disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico is being monitored for possible tropical development. The area of interest is pretty disorganized, although a little more tropical development may occur late Wednesday or Thursday morning. Models currently have the area of thunderstorms potentially impacting the Florida panhandle before moving out over the Atlantic.

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