The pattern of warm days and relatively calm and clear nights will continue for one more day. Thursday looks to be a pleasant and dry day with a good deal of sunshine as high pressure maintains a grip on the Commonwealth. Enjoy the long days and warm weather as we are approaching the Summer Solstice, the day with the most sunlight. This year the Solstice is on June 20th at 11:32 pm EDT when the direct rays of the sun reach the Tropic of Cancer.
As for the forecast, there will be a noticeable uptick in the heat for Friday as warmer air arrives from the west and south. We should be getting back into the low 90s most locations east of the Foothills so it is time to keep an eye on the kids, pets and neighbors. The summer heat will linger into the weekend but be tempered a little by the chance for rain. So if you are planning to mow the lawn, Thursday is the best time. Friday will be hot, Saturday may see some rain.
Saturday looks to be a day with a mix of clouds and sunshine along with showers and storm. The chance for rain is expected to begin over the Mountains then translate from west to east over the Commonwealth. The rain will probably take until mid-afternoon to really get ramped up, but there may be a few good thunderstorms with gusty winds from time to time. Severe weather is not officially forecast for the region at this time, but that may be upgraded. Since it should take a bit to get the rain in the east, our temperatures will be on the warmer than normal side, aiding in the development of stronger storms.
Sunday will see a bit more rain for a bit longer. Still only about a 40% probability of precipitation, the coverage should be a bit more widespread for longer in the day. The chance for strong to severe storms is also possible so we should keep an eye on that angle to the forecast pattern.
Monday and Tuesday may be very wet as there may be an introduction of some tropical moisture to the area. An interesting storm complex is growing in the western Gulf of Mexico and may develop into another tropical storm. The remnant low may hold together long enough to make it across the Carolinas on Monday night and Tuesday. This will be able to throw tropical moisture into the region and that will give us a more widespread chance for rain, and heavy rain at time. Many factors are still in play and have to be played out, but for now I am keeping a watchful eye on the tropical patterns in the Gulf of Mexico.