Another quiet and dry day with the temps reaching well into the 80s today most locations east of the Foothills. There is a chance for some robust rain on Wednesday, but mainly to the east.
The high-pressure dome responsible for our clear and dry pattern is overhead today but moving off the coast tomorrow. This will open the door for some clouds and rain to arrive. There are two parts to the rain event, both are independent of each other.
The first I will talk about is the storms that are slated to arrive east of the Blue Ridge, or over the Piedmont. These are a result of the high exiting and the flow of air arriving from the southwest with a good deal of moisture. This will combine with the heat of the Piedmont and strong to possibly severe storms are likely to arrive in the late daytime frame. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the Piedmont under the Marginal Risk Category for severe storms tomorrow with gusty winds the main issue.
The other batch of rain will arrive from the west and be associated with a cold front. This line of showers will be less intense but may generate a rumble of thunder from time to time. Overall, this round should be the line that scours out the heat we have been dealing with recently. The air behind the front is much drier and cooler, so a more “fall-like” feel is expected Thursday and Friday.
Over the weekend the region stays sunny and warm as high pressure returns and our temps get back into the upper 80s.
As for the tropics, Larry should drop into a Category 2 Hurricane today and maintain that status for a few days. Still not expected to do much more than generate some high surf on the east coast as they cyclone will stay well out to sea. A disturbance in the SW Gulf of Mexico is still being monitored for possible tropical development. Currently the system is very disorganized. It is forecast to move toward NW Florida and kick out into the Atlantic. Doesn’t look too promising for cyclone formation at this time, but will be a concern later in the week for the SE United States.
New Freedom Farm Freedom Fest Forecast is looking good, so far. Saturday will be sunny and day and so will Sunday. This far out I hesitate to forecast with any confidence, but this is what we know so far.