What a first week to the month of August. Let’s start with the tornado conformation of last Saturday in Botetourt county to the devastation along the coast by Isaias to the daily strong and severe storm in western Virginia…this month so far qualifies as “active”. Today will be active, but just not as widespread as Wednesday and Thursday.
Expect to see strong storms today in the Highlands and NRV in the afternoon, then some strong storms are likely to develop east of the Parkway later in the day. The amount of rain that will fall is going to be high so I am expecting to see more localized flooding. Lynchburg last night got over 2” of rain in a couple of hours and some flooding was occurring in the streets of the Hill City until after midnight. Any more in that area or others that got heavy rain this week will lead to quick run off or flooding.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed a portion of the viewing area under the Marginal Risk Category for severe storms with gusty winds as the main threat. Heavy rain with the storms will no doubt lead to some minor flooding as our soils are saturated. Yesterday we did see a couple of mud slides or debris flows which indicates the soil is saturated.
Saturday looks to be much quieter weatherwise as the stationary front is forecast to clear the region. The stationary front has been dangling over the Blue Ridge Parkway for the past few days and has been the focal point of the heavy rain and storms. As the front dissolves we should be much less active with respect to rainfall. There will be the typical heating of the day pop up storms, but few and far between. If you are out and about this weekend it is always a good idea to keep an eye to the sky.
Sunday looks to bring us back to the 90s most locations east of the Foothills. The heat of the day and the moisture lingering around will be a recipe for some isolated or scattered storms to develop in the afternoon. Nothing widespread, just what we refer to here as a “summer pattern” of late day storms.
More of the same on Monday before we graduate to a bit more widespread activity on Tuesday and Wednesday.
I will have the honor of guest hosting a segment on Tracking the Tropics this Tuesday at 8 pm. My topic will be Hurricane Camille and the devastating flooding in Virginia on August 19-20, 1969. I hope you will join myself and host Wes Hohenstein from our sister station in Raleigh for this broadcast on WFXRtv.com and our Facebook page.
Stay safe and healthy