Pinpoint Weather: Storm chances slowly increase the rest of the week as mild temperatures stick around; severe potential exists Wednesday

Weather Blog

Tuesday’s sunny and hot weather will gradually turn unsettled as we continue through the rest of the week.

For tonight, we’ll see Mostly Clear skies across the region with some pockets of fog possible overnight.

Low temperatures will drop into the upper 50s and lower 60s in the mountains and into the middle 60s east of the Blue Ridge.

By the time we get into Wednesday, clouds will start to move in during the day. With that comes the chance for a few stray showers and thunderstorms possible. Any storms that develop should be relatively isolated, though the Storm Prediction Center does have the far-northern part of the region in a Marginal Risk for severe weather possible. Any storms that develop could be accompanied by gusty winds and small hail. Most folks will remain dry, though.

Wednesday’s highs won’t be quite as hot as Tuesday’s as most of our hometowns will be in the upper 70s to the lower 80s, while locations further east will range from the mid to upper 80s with some areas possibly approaching 90.

By Thursday, a cold front will be knocking on our door which will bring a slightly elevated chance for showers and storms, but still…we’re not looking for widespread development. As with Wednesday, not everyone will get wet, but those who do can expect a chance for gusty winds, small hail and locally heavy rainfall. There won’t be much change to our weather after the cold front sweeps through as highs will continue largely in the 80s across the region.

The chance for spotty storms will continue through the rest of the week and into the upcoming weekend as well – not a significant chance, but isolated-to-scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day.

As far as the tropics go, Nicholas has weakened into a Tropical Depression, as of the 8 p.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The risk for significant flooding is coming together as this system is not expected to move that much during the next 48 hours. Some parts of Louisiana will likely see in excess of a foot of rain in areas still recovering from Hurricane Ida just two weeks ago, as well as from Hurricane Laura last year.

The NHC continues to watch two other systems in the Atlantic. The first is north of Hispaniola. They say there is a 60 percent chance for development of this system over the course of the next five days. The cold front that will push through our area is expected to also take this system and guide it out to sea. There is a chance that our coastal friends in the Carolinas and Virginia could get a glancing blow of some squally weather later this week as the system passes by.

The last system the NHC is watching is off the coast of Africa. It’s moving west and is still a good week away from potentially reaching any landmass. If it continues on its current track, the islands of the eastern Caribbean could be at risk, but there’s plenty of time to watch this system for further development and possible changes in its path. NHC says there is a 90 percent chance of this system to develop into a tropical entity during the next five days.

That’s what we’ve got on the weather front. See you tonight on WFXR News at 6:30 and First at Ten!

Gary Boyer
Meteorologist

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