After a sunny start to the day a good deal of cloud cover blanked the Commonwealth by the afternoon. Storms are expected to migrate north from SW Virginia as off and on storms are expected into the evening. The wedge of cool air is holding but will yield to the rain in the south and there will be a rainy pattern Friday and Saturday that should start to taper off late in the day Saturday ahead of what will be a typical summer pattern from Sunday until at least the middle of next week.
Friday will be rainy and cloudy with a few storms. Rain may be heavy at times so minor flooding is expected. The rain will arrive from the southwest and be a bit robust. The rain moving north will have to do battle with the wedge so that usually means a slow start to the rain. Once it kicks off it should be fairly steady. The high pressure to our northeast is moving off the coast of Newfoundland so this will open the door for the rainy pattern Friday and into Saturday.
Saturday will be the day of transition as the rain will linger in spots and an area of high pressure off the Carolina coast should keep the bulk of the rain along the Appalachians. There is still a chance for rain most locations Saturday but the bulk of the showers and storms should be in the mountains.
Sunday will be a partly cloudy day with the potential for some rain in the mountains late in the afternoon. Keep the umbrella handy but the rain chances should be west, along the spine of the Appalachians. Warming up starting the new week as the mercury should hit the middle to upper 80s on Sunday.
Monday should be the beginning of a period of dry and very warm weather for a couple of days.
The tropics are getting active once again. Two cyclones will more than likely be moving through the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. Currently Tropical Depression 13 and 14 are pushing West but should head NW. The tracks are similar with respect to direction and they are only a few hundred miles apart. Interesting track and timing. The potential for 13 to make landfall over the Panhandle of Florida next week is a high probability and that may impact our dry week that has been forecast by most of the models.
Stay safe and healthy