Stormy weather is slated for the weekend as moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic are streaming into the area. The flow of moisture will be intercepted by a cold front that is slated to drop in from the Ohio Valley today and linger over the Commonwealth through the weekend.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed a portion of the viewing area under the Marginal Risk for severe storms with the bulk of the stronger storms slated for the DC Metro area.

The front is forecast by our Futurecast model to slowly drop south on Saturday then sag and stall on Sunday. There is an area of low pressure expected to drive up the SE coast from Georgia Saturday which will provide ample moisture for the region. The potential for severe storms may be overshadowed by the potential for localized flooding.

Overall the forecast is not shaping up to be very dry, but some models are moving the front far enough south on Sunday to limit the chance for showers north of the North Carolina State line.

What will be consistent is the temperatures.

Please stay alert on area waterways this weekend as the potential for flooding rains will also lead to some fasts and full streams, creeks, and rivers. Keep an eye on the water levels and stay weather aware.

Stay Safe,

John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist