Pinpoint Weather: Rainy Monday ahead, potential for winter weather later in the week

Weather Blog

The week ahead is shaping up to be pretty active weather-wise. We’re looking at chilly temperatures, spring-like warmth, rain, freezing rain, and snow in the forecast during the course of the next seven days.

Some light rain and snow is possible west of the Blue Ridge Parkway this evening, although a few flurries may make their way a little further east. Skies will be overcast and low temperatures will be in the 30s tonight.

Widespread rain will move into Southwest and Central Virginia during the day Monday and high temperatures will only be in the 40s. Periods of heavy rainfall may occur and pockets of fog will have the chance to develop in some spots. There’s even the potential for some freezing rain, but this is mainly constrained to higher elevations and into counties north of the I-64 corridor. The greatest threat for icy weather will be to our north into the Shenandoah Valley. The greatest rainfall amounts are expected north of U.S. 460 with lower totals in Southside Virginia.

The wet weather will taper off Tuesday morning and skies will begin to gradually clear for the afternoon. If you’ve been sick of the colder temperatures, you’re in luck! Temperatures will climb into the upper 50s and low 60s for Tuesday, making it feel more like spring outside. Keep in mind, this will be a brief warm-up. Highs will return to the upper 40s and 50s Wednesday.

Cloud cover will be variable for Wednesday ahead of our second system. There is the potential for rain and snow Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. Models have been shifting back and forth on the track and intensity of this event. The GFS has the storm system tracking right over our region, giving us higher snowfall totals in some spots. The EURO model is showing a weaker system impacting the region, resulting in lower totals.

Overall, overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning may be a bit messy, but there is still plenty of time for the forecast to shift. Just know that there is the potential for winter weather in the forecast for Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. The WFXR Pinpoint Weather Team will continue to iron out the details — such as the storm system’s intensity and precipitation amounts — as we get a little closer to the middle of the week.

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