Tonight looks to be on the muggy and mild side with a chance for some pockets of fog and a little bit of mist and drizzle. Moving forward into the short work week, there will be a steady diet of afternoon storms. The challenge ahead is not if the storms are going to happen, but it will be where and how intense.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed the region under the Slight and Marginal Risk categories for severe storms on both Tuesday and Wednesday. The main threat is expected to be gusty winds and hail near 1″ in diameter.

There is also a very small risk of a spin-up tornado to develop in any one of the clusters of trouble tomorrow, so we need to be weather aware. As mentioned, the chance is low, but always seems to be on the table with these this type of stormy pattern. Futurecast is not impressed with the stormy potential Tuesday, but that model gets updated every six hours, so we will be watching. The threat for severe weather does ramp up on Wednesday so that day may be the more aggressive of the two this week.

The stormy pattern will continue into the weekend, as the summer heat and humidity will be present to churn up the atmosphere. A frontal boundary will also be stalling our over the region Thursday and Friday and that feature may help to initiate some storms over the Commonwealth.

Temps will be hot, reaching or approaching the low to middle 90s most of the week, and with the humidity, the area will see the chance for some triple-digit heat index values as well.

Stay safe,

John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist

As for the tropics, Bonnie did manage to cross Central America while maintaining her tropical characteristics as she pushes into the Eastern Pacific. The name stays, unlike Agatha which crossed from the Pacific to the Gulf of Mexico. That cyclone lost her status over the mountains and became Alex a couple of days later. Now Bonnie continues west and is gaining some power.

This year in the books the Eastern Pacific Basin will have two cyclones that have a name starting with the letter “B”, Bonnie and Blas.