Not much change in the weather over the next several days as an area of low pressure will develop over the lower Mississippi Valley today and drift along the river for most of the week.
The position will just right for us to get some rain off and on all week. Just as the pattern of dry air closed out the month of September, this wet and rainy pattern will last until at least the weekend.
Temperatures will be about normal for early October, topping out in the middle to upper 70s early this week (60s in the high country). There will not be much in the way of sunshine obviously, and if you have not cut your lawn for a spell, you may not get a chance until next week.
By Thursday the low should be drifting toward the Ohio and Mississippi river junction, with little change in the forecast, looks like rain.
Along the surface, high pressure will keep things rather blocked up, so there will be little change. Late in the week an area of low pressure develops near the Carolinas and will provide the Commonwealth with a bit more water. The rain will be a bit more robust, and there may be some localized flooding as we head into the weekend. Models are a bit conflicted at the moment about this feature, but it warrants us to monitor this as we move through the week.
As for the tropics, not much going on that will impact North America. The low that develops off the coast I mentioned above will have some tropical characteristics and is being looked at by the National Hurricane Center.
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