April showers will arrive late Thursday and linger into the weekend. Not much in the way of heavy rain, more showers and possibly an isolated thunderstorm is what we should expect.
Strong storms are currently impacting the middle of the country and will be moving from west to east from the Southern Central Plains and the Lower Mississippi River Valley. I feel the strong storms will not make it this far east as they may encounter some issues with the mountains and another cold front. The pattern is interesting and complicated to cypher but the end result will be scattered showers and storms.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed the SW corner on Virginia in the Marginal Risk Category for Severe Weather Thursday. This is a very broad brush and the main issue will be the potential for gusty winds with the storms. Mention of an isolated tornado is also in the discussion, but the confidence is very low that tornadoes will develop in our region… but worthy of a mention.
There will be a cold front moving in from the northeast that will slow down the progression of the front moving in from the west. The front currently along the coast, nicknamed a back door cold front because it moves in from the east, will help to ignite a few showers late Thursday from Danville to Lexington. The rain will be moderate at best and there is a slight chance we may hear the rumble of thunder, but the overall result will be showers. Timing of the rain is expected to be in the late afternoon or more likely the early evening. This will be the beginning of what I expect to be a few days of rain.
Overnight into Friday the rain will be off and on then taper off in the morning. The showers are likely to return in the afternoon and evening again and be spotty or hit and miss type rain. Again, the overall way to describe the rain will be showers.
Saturday will be another tough call, but the opportunity for us to see rain again in the late day time frame is there. Rainy and possibly some isolated storms may arrive in the late afternoon and once again, extend into the overnight time frame. The rain is forecast to end early Sunday, possibly before or very near sunrise, so we may salvage a fairly nice day Sunday.
The dry pattern will linger into the beginning of the new work week before we see rain returning closer to Thursday.
Temperatures will be mild most of this forecast period with the cooler day being Friday after the back door front slides past. Temps will be milder in the mountains than in the piedmont Friday as a result. Normal temps for this time of year are around the middle 60s, so apart from Friday the region will see temps in the 70s through the weekend and early next week.
April showers will be watering the lawns and getting the soil ready for the May growing season.
The night race in Martinsville Saturday may be a bit impacted by the rain showers, mainly off and on in the evening.