Unfortunately, the Commonwealth will be dealing with showers and storms off and on all weekend. There is persistent flow of moisture arriving from the southwest that will mingle with a cold front arriving from the north and west allowing for periods of rain and storms for the next several days.

Saturday looks to be the first of many days that we will forecast widespread rain. The front will meander over the region and be the focal point for the stormy weather. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the region in the Marginal Risk for severe storms on Saturday with gusty winds being the main issue.

The stormy pattern will continue on Sunday as the robust rain maintains a presence as the front remains. The rain may be heavy at times and there may be some localized flooding in some of the favored areas. If your outdoor plans include any water sports, be sure to monitor the weather as the creeks and streams will rise quickly. The Drought Monitor has most of the region in the Abnormally Dry category, so the rain will be absorbed well on Saturday, but by Sunday and Independence Day we may see faster runoff and a higher chance for flooding.

Independence Day will be less active but not quiet with respect to the rainy pattern. The front may take the holiday off and migrate north so scattered storms are more likely vs. the widespread potential of Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be on warm side all weekend, hovering around 90.

The front stays north most of the short work week, and therefore, the showers and storms will linger. Stay safe this holiday weekend, be mindful of rising waters and lightning.

Bonnie has finally been named after several days of “potential tropical cyclone” we have our second named storm of the young season. Bonnie will cause trouble for Central America before moving out into the Eastern Pacific and be re-named. Darby is next up in the Eastern Pacific.

Stay safe
John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist