The complex storm system moving through the region will provide the area with a decent amount of rain. The rain may be heavy at times overnight and there is the potential for minor flooding. The ground this time of year is not as receptive to the rain as the vegetation is dormant and the run off is much faster. That is one of the reasons that only about an inch or so of rain in the late fall or winter may lead to flooding as opposed to an inch or so in the height of the growing season.
The rain tonight will not last long, in fact I expect the rain to end before sunrise. This is a relatively fast-moving system and that will help ease the flooding potential. Still, we need to be aware of our flood plains and our creeks and streams tonight as they may be overtaken rather quickly.
This forecast has two issues to content with, the first is the rain that we just discussed but the second is the winds. They will become gusty once the rain ends and will usher in some cooler air. The limbs are a bit stiffer this time of year and the winds may be able to crack off some bigger branches. There may be some power outages if the limbs fall on the power lines so we should keep that in mind.
The mountain regions may see some accumulating snow and that will be a good thing for the resorts and a bad thing for travel.
Saturday should be dry and crisp, and Sunday looks to be on the chilly side. There is some scuttlebutt about snow on Monday, but currently the storms path responsible for this event is not etched in stone. Right now, I am inclined to go with snow showers in the Mountain Empire Monday, with 1” possible. That is something that will be monitored closely as a model or two have more of the region getting a dusting.
Stay safe and healthy
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