Pinpoint Weather: Fog develops overnight but a dry and mild pattern is likely for the rest of the holiday weekend

Weather Blog

Update: Before midnight fog has been developing in the Piedmont and will restrict visibility in the region. If you are planning to travel early Friday morning give yourself some extra time as the roads will be tricky. Always use your low beams in fog so the light of your high beams doesn’t reflect back in your eyes.

As for the rest of the forecast:

A pleasant and dry pattern will be present for the weekend as high pressure takes over and keeps the region free from precipitation. There is a chance for some cloud cover to drift under the high and provide us with some filtered sunshine on Friday but the overall pattern for the weekend will remain dry. The temperature profile will be once again above normal.  The normal highs for the weekend are the low to middle 50s and the temps will be in the 60s Friday and the upper 50s on Saturday and Sunday.

Saturday will be a pleasant and dry day with the mercury in the thermometer topping out in the 50s most locations as a few 60s east of the Parkway. Look for the skies to be mostly sunny. Saturday will be a lovely day to take a walk or a hike in the region. The meteorological winter is just a few days away and I am looking at a major shift in the weather pattern as early as Monday.

Sunday may be the last mild day for a while as an area of low pressure will intensify in the SE United States then migrate into the Commonwealth on Monday. Sunday will be the day of transition as clouds will become more prevalent and the region will see a chance for some rain to arrive in our Southside counties just a bit after sunset Sunday.  

Monday will be rainy and windy. The feature will be a deep area of low pressure that has all the earmarks of gusty winds and heavy rain.  The origin of the low is from the south so the air will be mild.  That is significant as the precipitation will be in liquid form (rain) and not frozen (snow).  Then the low moves north and retrogrades a bit through the Eastern Great Lakes of Erie and Ontario.  This movement west and north will allow this feature to grab some colder air from Canada and sweep it into the Commonwealth. The result will be heavy snow in West Virginia late Monday and will continue until late Tuesday. The snow is not expected to get past the spine of the Appalachians but there may be some snow bursts make it to interstate 81. All the while we should be dealing with windy conditions.

Tuesday and Wednesday will be much cooler with highs only reaching the upper 30s to low 40s.  Mountain snow should continue and the winds will not relax until Wednesday.   The computer models have been waffling back and forth with respect to position and intensity but the overall impact will be rainy, windy and colder weather next week.

So, Happy Thanksgiving everyone and enjoy the mild pattern while we have it to enjoy.

Monday morning European Model brings the rain in before sunrise, winds most of the day. Snow is forecast to stay west, but may see some bursts of snow from time to time east of the Foothills.

Stay safe and healthy

John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist

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