Pinpoint Weather: Dry and chilly pattern over the weekend, rain expected on Monday
Enjoy the dry and chilly pattern this weekend as there is a good chance for rain on Monday. The skies will be mostly clear overnight into Saturday allowing the temps to dip into the low to middle 20s in most locations. There may be some breezy to windy conditions at higher elevations at times so the wind chill values will need to be calculated, but should not be overwhelmingly cold.
Saturday will be a dry and pleasant day for this time of year. Winds will be arriving from the Northwest ushering the cool air but should be classified as breezy not brisk. High pressure will be parked overhead keeping us bathed in sunshine all day. Afternoon temperatures will range from the low 30s in the High Country to the middle 40s over the Piedmont. The winds will diminish in the evening so coupled with the clear skies the temps will drop quickly below freezing. Lows should be in the teens and 20s.
Sunday starts out cold and warms relatively quickly. The highs, under mostly sunny skies, will reach the middle to upper 40s. There will be a noticeable increase in cloud cover late in the afternoon so the full day will not be sunny. Clouds will arrive from the west and south ahead of a rainy period on Monday.
Monday will be a rainy day. The big question will be whether or not we get any frozen precipitation. There will be a cold pocket of air pushed up against the mountains, the wedge, which has the potential to add a freezing rain element to our event. If the wedge is strong enough there could be some freezing rain in our northern counties. Rockbridge and Amherst counties may see a bit of an icy glaze, as well as Highland. The freezing rain will not be considered a paralyzing event, but it will make for very slick roads if you are traveling north of our region. Most of the viewing area should see around an inch or so of rain Monday.
Tuesday will start out with a few lingering showers in the morning then yield to some partly cloudy skies by the afternoon. Wednesday will be dry and chilly while Thursday may bring a chance for some measurable snow. Right now, the computer models are aggressively providing us with a decent amount of snow (5 – 7”), but that is almost a week away and needs to be fine tuned before we begin to make forecasts that we can be confident about.