Pinpoint Weather: December’s start will feel more like late-October as a nice warm-up takes hold; slight rain chance Wednesday

Weather Blog

Wednesday enters a new month and a new climatological season.

Meteorological winter runs from Dec. 1 through Feb. 28 (for climate purposes) though the official first day of winter is still a few weeks away (Dec. 21).

Though Wednesday marks the start of a new meteorological season, it won’t feel anything like winter out there as daytime highs will be climbing well above average as the week continues.

I’ll have more on that shortly.

As far as tonight goes, the gusty winds of the afternoon will subside during the evening tonight, so expect calmer conditions after dark.

Low temperatures tonight will fall back into the upper 20s in the mountains to the lower and middle 30s elsewhere.

We will also notice that clouds will be moving in later tonight as clear skies will ultimately turn mostly cloudy.

Those clouds will continue through the day on Wednesday and while there could be a few peeks of sunshine at times, most areas will remain largely cloudy. With those clouds, there is some moisture (which we really need) that will try its hardest to come into the region; however, with many systems this time of year, the mountains won’t act as our friend as most of the moisture will not cross over the Appalachian chain, so we’re only forecasting a few light showers – mostly in areas west of the Blue Ridge. (Our in-house model below is showing more rain coming into the area but I’m thinking that most of that will have trouble getting over the mountains).

Wednesday’s highs will largely compare with where we were on Tuesday.

While a few showers could linger in the western part of the region into Wednesday night, they should largely exit the area during the evening.

Thursday we’ll see the return of breezy conditions during the day, but they’ll subside during the night. Friday looks calm and quiet.

A High Wind Watch has been placed into effect for Highland County as gusty winds could top 60 mph Thursday afternoon and evening.

Combine those gusty winds with low humidity and dry conditions, the chance for the rapid spread of brush and wildfires exists, so a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for this area as well.

Thursday and Friday both will be dry and seasonably mild with highs in the 50s in the mountains to the mid and upper 60s, maybe even pushing 70 in some areas.

As we enter the upcoming weekend, we’re continuing to look dry. Saturday’s temperatures will remain mild, but not quite as mild as Thursday and Friday’s highs. By Sunday, we’re looking a bit cooler with highs in the 40s to the lower 50s across the region.

Three quick side notes:

  • Fire weather concerns continue across the area with with dry surface fuels and relatively low humidity. While the risk for the spread of brush and wildfires exists a bit more to our south into North Carolina, we still need to be on-guard. A burn ban is in effect in Danville and seperately for Pittsylvania County. More could be added, so pay attention to your local governments for the potential of additional burn bans to be issued.
  • The Atlantic Hurricane Season officially comes to an end today (Tuesday). To finish the season, we ran through the complete list of names on our primary list (21 named systems) for the year. This doesn’t mean that we’re 100% done and won’t see any additional tropical/subtropical systems as storms can still develop even after the season ends. The National Hurricane Season, though, does say that there isn’t anything on the horizon that hints of any potential tropical activity. Of course, we’ll keep an eye on things but it does look as though we’re done with tropical activity.

  • WFXR’s Pinpoint Weather Team will air our annual winter weather special, titled “Winter Ready 2021” that airs this Wednesday (tomorrow) Dec. 1 at 6:30 p.m. We’ll discuss the different types of winter weather, how you can prepare and what we can expect in the months ahead. Chief Meteorologist John Carroll and Kathlynn Stone will host the special that features all of us on the Pinpoint Weather Team. We invite you to tune in with John, Kathlynn, Kara Thompson, Sandra Brogan and myself for the Winter Ready 2021 special!

I’ll talk to you tonight for the latest updates on the forecast tonight on WFXR News at 6:30 and First at Ten!

Gary Boyer

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