After a sunny and pleasant late afternoon Sunday the region is going to be settling in with a cool and slightly rainy pattern this week. The slightly rainy description is added as the rain will be off and on each day with the threat of severe weather low, but not zero. The severe threat for storms that may produce some gusty winds. The storm prediction center has pushed the threat for severe storms over our eastern counties with the potential for winds to damage to trees that in turn may fall into power lines.
There is a cold front that is slated to push though the region late on Monday and may be the focus for showers and storms over the eastern counties. The result after the front will be a much cooler pattern and a weak “wedge” setting up for the rest of the week. The wedge of cooler air will arrive from the Northeast as an area of high-pressure slides north of the region. There is the potential for rain and cloudy conditions from Wednesday through Friday but with the cooler air in place the rain will be more showery in nature verses the aggressive stormy pattern we usually see in the summer. We still may hear the rumble of thunder though so storms are not off the table.
That being said, expect to see highs this week in the 70s after Tuesday and lows in the 60s. There should be a good deal of cloud cover each day from Wednesday into the weekend as that is usually the way when we have cooler air arriving from the north and east. There is available moisture along the surface so expect to see some early morning fog in a number of locations this week as well.
Heading into the weekend we have the chance to see a bit of drying and warming with temps getting back into the 80s.
This Wednesday and Thursday is the anniversary of the flooding from hurricane Camille. The devastation in Nelson county was historic and the landslides and mud flows redefined the topography of the region. Over 150 people died on the night between the 19th and 20th of August 1969 and is considered by many to be the greatest natural disaster in the history of the Commonwealth.
Stay safe and healthy
John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist
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