The meteorological winter started on Tuesday and the feel of winter is at hand. The biting wind has been making the “feels like” temps dip into the teens and low 20s (much colder in the mountains), but tonight the actual temperatures will be in the teens and 20s. The final day of the cold pattern will end with a bitterly cold night. Tonight, the winds will relax so the wind chill values will not be dipping deep into the teens or even the single digits, which is good news. The skies will be clear allowing the temps to fall fast from our afternoon highs. Make sure to prepare for the winter night as some locations in the NRV will dip into the teens. Roanoke, Lynchburg and Danville will all be in the middle 20s for lows.
The forecast highs for Thursday are expected to rebound into the 50s as the flow of air arrives from the southwest and south. The normal highs for this time of year are the low 50s so we should only rise a few degrees above normal. There will be ample sunshine so our solar energy will be able to keep the region feeling mild if you are working outside. Still need to be prepared for the chilly air, but not the biting wind.
Friday will be the day of transition as there will be another storm labeled to move overhead on Saturday. The timing of the rain is still up for debate as some of the models have the rain arriving late Friday afternoon or early evening, while others hold it off until after midnight. Bottom line, we are expecting rain on Saturday and it may be robust enough to warrant a few flood advisories for urban areas and some streams. The larger rivers are just now getting back to normal levels and will be below flood stage at the advent of the next round of rain but will fill quickly if the rain is as robust as advertised.
Sunday looks to be the beginning of another dry and breezy/windy period. Temperatures are likely to be in the 40s again for afternoon highs through the first part of the work week and the skies will be mostly clear. There is a storm expected to slide up the coast late Tuesday (according to one model) but not impact us with much more than clouds cover. Another model has a storm passing to the north by mid-week, but again, little to no impact. I do feel that our west facing slopes will once again be dealing with some off and on snow by late week.
Stay safe and healthy
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