Pinpoint Weather: Chilly week ahead with a chance for mountain snow

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Pinpoint Weather: Chilly week ahead with a chance for mountain snow

As we move forward through the 11th month of the year, the feeling is going to be more like the 12th month. Temperatures are the major issue this forecast period as the region makes an abrupt turn towards a wintry pattern. 

The normal high temperature for the start of November is around the middle 60s, this week we should be about 10 degrees less than that mark.  The overnight lows are normally in the 40s, we should be about 7 degrees below that this week.

Tuesday will be starting out on the cloudy side with a slight chance for some light rain and drizzle. The chance of light rain is low, only about 30%, but it will be cold rain. The rain chances end from west to east as we get past noon, so not much in the way of an overwhelming event. May want to tend to your tender plants this week, or yield to the winter a bit early.

What will be of note will be the chance for some light snow in Pocahontas County Tuesday morning.  Not much will stay on the ground, but the folks at Snowshoe resort will be very happy to get anything this early. Southside and Central Virginia may not see any precipitation, but some light ran and maybe a flake or two in the western counties of the NRV is possible.

There is also going to be some bitterly cold air in the region. There is a Freeze Watch for Botetourt and Rockbridge counties Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. There will be even colder air in the mountains to the west of the highlighted counties, but the growing season is over in that area…so no more cold weather alerts.

Wednesday looks to be a mix of sun and clouds as the cool to cold pattern remains. The highs stay consistently in the 50s this week, so no change there.  The chance for another round of rain and mountain snow arrives on Thursday. This time from the south and impacting the Mountain Empire with some light snow and Southside gets a bit of light rain. The rain and snow will not move too far north, but it will be another day of mostly cloudy skies. The 460 Highway will be the line that may not get crossed Thursday with some rain and the Alleghany Highlands should stay dry.

Friday looks to be dry and chilly and that pattern will continue into the weekend. And speaking of the weekend, don’t forget to turn your clocks back Sunday morning. Change the batteries in both your smoke detectors and carbon monoxide detectors to stay safe this winter.

Of note:  I always find it interesting that most years when we start talking about snow, there is still a tropical disturbance brewing in the Atlantic. This year, Wanda is roaming around the central Atlantic region.

As we head into November, here is a look back at October,

Stay Safe,
John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist

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