It’s Sunday and I hope it’s a fun day!
If you do plan on having fun outside, be sure that you take frequent breaks and drink plenty of water because it’s going to be another hot one. Highs should be in the upper 80s to near 90 in the mountains and in the lower to mid 90s east of the Blue Ridge and into the Piedmont.
There could be a few showers and storms again possible over parts of the region with the Highlands likely having the best opportunity for storms into the afternoon and evening. We can’t rule out some of the storms being on the strong side with gusty winds, some small hail and very heavy rainfall.
Monday and Tuesday’s weather will be somewhat similar with a few showers and thunderstorms possible across the region with highs in the 80s in the mountains and into the lower and middle 90s elsewhere.
The only real difference between the two days will be the increase in cloud cover on a wide basis as, what is currently Hurricane Ida will track closer to our region. By the time the storm gets here, it’s expected to either be a Tropical Depression or a remnant low.
For us, showers from the system should begin late Tuesday night and will last pretty much all day on Wednesday.
The official track of Ida from the National Hurricane Center brings it potentially right over our region but there’s something else to consider. Wherever the center of the storm moves over, locations on the right side of it that could also have the risk for a few spin-up tornadoes. So, if the center of the storm goes to our north, we could have that to deal with as well. If the center of the storm tracks to our south, that won’t be as much of a concern.
As far as rainfall amounts, it’s still a bit early to tell. Initial thoughts are widespread one to two inches seem likely with some areas getting a bit more – again, that’s dependent on the exact track of the system. Either way, Wednesday is looking like a washout. How much of a washout remains to be seen.
By Thursday, the storm starts to move away, so there could be some showers possible during the morning over the region but by the afternoon, we should start to dry out – maybe even with some late-day sunshine.
Highs will go from the 80s and 90s on Tuesday to the 70s and 80s by Thursday.
The end of the upcoming week looks dry and less humid with highs in the 70s and 80s in the mountains and into the 80s elsewhere.
Also in the tropics, Tropical Depression 10 and Tropical Depression 11 both formed overnight in the Atlantic. Thankfully, both storms are expected to remain over the open waters of the Atlantic.
So, it’s a good idea to have the umbrella on standby again today – especially in the Highlands, though the NRV and Central Virginia could also be dealing with some afternoon storms as well.
Thoughts and prayers are with those along the Gulf coast who are being affected by Hurricane Ida which will make landfall Sunday afternoon with the potential for catastrophic damage.
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