Virginia is in a location that could easily defined as “in between”. The region is referred to as the Mid-Atlantic and is often a location of wide temperature swings and weather patterns. It is located “in between” the southern tier states and the northern tier states, and the fluctuations in the temperatures very noticeable. It really isn’t all that uncommon to have temperatures in the 50s for highs one day and 70s the next. This week will be one of those periods where we will be well above normal immediately following a stretch of weather that was well below normal.
Saturday’s temperature in Roanoke was 52° under a good deal of cloud cover and rain. The forecast this week has the Star City in the 80s until Friday. That is what I would call a good swing in the temperature profile. The normal high is just over 70° this week, so if you look at the weekend temps being almost 20° below normal and then this week’s forecast temps being about 15° above, you are reminded of the “Mid Atlantic” region and the “in between” fluctuations.
The bottom line is that this week the area will be feeling much warmer and more like summer as an area of high pressure takes hold. The overnight hours will be mild and the afternoon hours will be very warm. My personal definition of hot is the 90s, but many feel the 80s are hot. Either way you slice it, the temps will be well above normals for Late April and more like late June and early July.
Expect to see plenty of sunshine during the afternoon and a good view of the full moon at night. The moon is full tonight and is nicknamed the Pink Moon due to the blossoming Pink Phlox or Creeping Phlox that cover New England and the Great Lakes Region. The Algonquin Native American Tribe has a nickname for all the full moons, usually based on the conditions that time of year. This full moon is also the first Supermoon of the year and one of only two. The second Supermoon is next month. FYI, a Supermoon is when the moon is full at the same time it is in Perigee, or its orbit brings it the closest to the earth. It is about 15% brighter and appears to be about 7% larger (ofcourse the moon never changes in size; it just appears that way)
The forecast for the week is a very warm one, highs each day will be in the 80s until Friday when we get a cold front to push through and some rain. The winds may pick up on Tuesday and again Wednesday so we should start to be a bit concerned about fire danger and the brisk winds spreading any fire quickly. The winds will not be overwhelming but they will be noticeable. The weekend rain will help slow the drying process of the brush, but by Wednesday we may be looking at a few statements issued by the NWS about the heightened fire danger.