Showers and storms continue to be part of the conversation with respect to the overnight time frame. There are a number of features to our west that have the potential to provide the region with strong and possibly severe storms. There is also the chance that most of the energy will not enter our viewing area. This lack of definitive model consistency has us on our toes. The “better safe than sorry” theme is one I am adapting. Our Futurecast model has a significant cluster of storms moving over the area after midnight.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed the region under a Marginal Risk for Severe Storms for the time period ending at 8 am Friday morning. The threat consists of gusty winds and large hail. There is also a very low chance that some of these storms my generate a tornado. We are on the eastern edge of the tornado threat and it only includes Carroll, Grayson, Wythe, and Bland and points west, so the NRV seems to be the area in the 2% chance range. Remember, you don’t have to be in the risk category to be at risk. Stay alert today and tonight as the region may be a bit aggressive.

The other feature to this forecast is the heat. There will be temperature readings in the 90s in most locations for the weekend, so it is time to remember how to beat the heat.

The highs may get to record levels in a few places, but record or not, it will be hot.

There will be a bit of a haze over the region in the heat and if there are some showers and storms today, that will introduce some moisture and humidity to the viewing area, so the feels like temps may hit the triple digits.

Saturday will be hot and humid with a chance for some storms. Highs again in the 90s.

Sunday and Monday there will be a slow-moving cold front cross the Commonwealth. This will spark some rather robust storms late Sunday and into Monday. We cool significantly on Monday as highs only reach the upper 70s.

Stay safe,

John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist