The conveyor belt of rain continues to push into the Commonwealth with some tenacity. The cumulative effect of the persistent rain will be about an inch or so, but since the ground is not frozen and the rain is spread out over a long period of time, I am not anticipating many flooding issues. Look for the rain to taper off as we head into the afternoon of Saturday and then the winds are likely to be howling on Sunday and Monday. The flow of air on Saturday should still be from the southwest generally, so the temps will be mild in the books, but I do expect a shift in the wind in the afternoon, so temps will drop quickly before the sun sets.
Saturday: Rain is expected to continue off and on through most of the day. The high pressure ridge to the east will move away and the rain running around the periphery of the ridge will slide off the coast as well. The flow of air is expected to shift to a more Northwesterly direction overnight so there will be an opportunity for snow to accumulate on the mountains, especially the west facing slopes. The snow will be fairly consistent into Sunday morning before tapering off around mid-morning. Highs on Saturday will be mild to start, but quickly drop once we get into the late afternoon time frame and the front passes.
Sunday: Looks like a relatively windy day with the winds from the NW at around 30 mph at times and some gusts in the 45 mph range. The snow machine will be turned on over our west facing mountains in West Virginia and I expect a total of around 2 – 4” of snow by the middle of the morning. The snow should have started late Saturday, then end before noon Sunday. Generally the temperatures will be in the 30s to start the day and near 50 at the end.
Monday: Dry and brisk will be a good way to describe the day. High temperatures will be in the upper 40s to low 50s under mostly sunny skies. Winds will shift a bit to more of a westerly flow, which should allow a bit of a warm up from Sunday.
Tuesday: Rain showers are expected late in the day ahead of another cold front. Timing of the rain and the front are still be debated by the models, but there are more models leaning toward a Tuesday advent of the rain vs. a Wednesday start.
Wednesday: If the rain arrives on Tuesday as expected, Wednesday should be chilly and dry with a bit of a NW breeze.
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