Today looks to be a very active day with strong to severe thunderstorms expected this afternoon.
A cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving in the western fringe of the area this morning are dying out but we will see more as we head into the afternoon hours. It’s warm & humid to start the day and will remain so as we head throughout the rest of the day. A cold front sweeping through as we head into the heat of the day will spark off showers and thunderstorms and some of those are likely to be on the strong to severe side. The SPC has our region under a marginal, slight, and enhanced risk for severe storms this afternoon. Damaging winds are the most likely threat for storms to be classified as severe with up to a 30% chance followed by large hail at up to a 15% chance and a slim chance for tornadoes to spin up with a 2% chance for the southeast corner of the region. With precipitable water values in the 1.5-2 inch range the showers and storms will be efficient rain makers and torrential rain will be possible. With quite a bit of rain over the last week or so the ground is still very saturated and lots of runoff is likely which could lead to flash flooding. The cumulative effect of the repeated rounds of rain will be the heightened chance for that potential flooding. Any heavy rain will be suspect to create rapid runoff and flash flooding. With the ground saturated the runoff will flow rapidly toward the lowest point thru the path of least resistance. Remember never try to cross flooded areas unless it’s absolutely positively your last resort. It only takes a few inches of rapidly running water to knock you down and carry you away and 6-12” to send your car downstream. Most flooding deaths occur in vehicles, don’t become a statistic, turn around, don’t drown.
Summer officially begins tomorrow. I know it’s felt like summer for some time now but we make it official Friday with the summer solstice. The solstice takes place just before the afternoon at 11:54am. That is when the direct rays of the sun are over the Tropic of Cancer. This is the day with the most amount of daylight (described as the longest day of the year even though there are still only 24 hours in each day).
It’s that time of year that I need to remind folks to please, NEVER leave your kids or pets in the car. The interior of your car will heat up extremely quickly and reach dangerous, if not deadly, levels in a very short period of time. If you want to take the dog for a car ride than make it a dedicated ride for them, don’t stop for groceries or to pick something up. It only takes a few minutes for the temperature in your vehicle to reach those dangerous levels. If you have a small child be sure you double check the back seat when you get out.
Meteorologist Jason Caterina
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