Strong to severe storms likely into Thursday morning with flooding concerns
Several waves of storms will have moved through the region by the end of this week. Tuesday there was a round of spotty storms that generated some small hail and gusty winds which I will refer to as round one. Tuesday night a rogue storm migrated from Columbus Ohio and laid down a track of hail for several miles in both West Virginia and Virginia. Wednesday morning a significant line of storms moved in from the north and west and provided very gusty winds and large hail along with a good deal of rain. That I will refer to as Round two. Wednesday afternoon and into the evening there is a chance for isolated strong to severe storms to fire up in the heat of the day. I will call that event round three. Thursday morning there will be a cold front moving through and there is the potential for another line of strong to severe storms to occur. This will be called round four. This line will be followed by much cooler conditions and sustained winds near 15 mph or more. The last event this week will be snow that is expected to arrive on west facing slopes and into some of the Alleghany Highland and NRV counties early Friday morning. A very active week to say the least, and the snow event I will call Round five.
Flooding and flash flooding will be likely both today and Thursday morning as the ground has been saturated and the rain keeps on coming. The mountains will have the best chance for Flash Flooding due to the topography of the hills and valleys channeling the water quickly from one location to another. Low lying regions will be overrun as the rain continues today and tomorrow morning. Seek higher ground if you are in a flood prone region.
Thursday afternoon, although windy, will be mostly sunny and mild. Temps will be in the 60s then drop as the afternoon wears on as the cold air arrives from the northwest. The snow looks to pile up in the 1 – 3” range, but will be melted quickly by noon.
Saturday looks nice but another round of rain is expected on Easter Sunday. That round will be a good rain maker as well and should linger into Monday.
All in all a very active pattern for the next several days.
Stay Safe and healthy.
John Carroll Chief Meteorologist
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