Strong to severe storms likely before the weekend
Once again, we are in line for strong to severe storms in the heat of the day as our persistent pattern of heat and humidity maintains a grip on the Commonwealth. The storms that arrive will be accompanied by gusty winds and the threat of hail. There will also be a good deal of rain in a short period of time so minor flooding is expected. The Storm Prediction Center has placed us on notice with most of the region be in the Marginal Risk Category for severe storm. This is updated frequently so as the day moves along, we may be upgraded to the Slight Risk Category and I will update us when that occurs, if at all.
The storms will be tapering off as we lose the energy from the sun but similar to yesterday there may be some lingering storms well into the evening. Nighttime storms are particularly dangerous if there is a good deal of rain as rising waters may be difficult to identify. Please stay alert, download our App and keep your phone handy so you can get life saving information.
Friday will be the heat busting day as a cold front will be drifting south through the region. Timing of the front looks to be overnight Thursday and lasting into the day Friday. The front will be the focal point of the storms but there will be considerable activity prior to the actual crossing. Winds with a good deal of moisture will arrive from the southwest ahead of the front, storms will be firing up as they converge with the cooler air on the way. The region will still be moist from all the humidity this week so expect a fairly widespread rainy and stormy day Friday. I believe the border between Virginia and North Carolina may see the most intense storm coverage as the front times out with the warmer air in that region Friday afternoon.
Storms linger into Saturday morning but should end before sunrise. There will be a noticeable cool down Saturday as temps will top out in the 70s for afternoon highs. We may see a mix of clouds and sunshine most of the day, but little in the way of rain chances. Sunday may be a bit cloudier as the clearing and cooling high will be positioned over New England. This will bring a northeast to east flow of wind into the area. The cooler air combined with some marine components (moisture) will hitchhike along to provide some decent cloud cover. Temps still in the 70s for highs.
Gradual warming trend initiates on Monday and the next chance for rain doesn’t arrive until at least Wednesday or possibly not until Thursday.
Keep an eye to the sky over the next day or so, these storms will pack a punch when they arrive.
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