Mild pattern lingers, spotty showers persist, cold pattern shortly.
Our mild pattern will continue into the middle of the week as the mild air along with some rain maintains a grip on the Commonwealth. There will be spotty showers overnight and into the morning of Wednesday as a stalled front acts as the trigger for the showers. The potential for a few thunderstorms along the NC/VA border is also possible, but should be few and far between. The rain will be off and on Wednesday and should taper off as we move into Thursday. Some indications are that rain may be aggressive Wednesday into Thursday so I will continue to monitor that scenario. Right now I am looking at showers into Thursday, but that may change.
Winds will be an issue as we move into Thursday as the mild pattern becomes a memory. Look for a drop in the daily high temps from near 60 on Wednesday to the upper 40s on Thursday. Overnight lows plummet below freezing beginning Friday morning as a wedge sets up for the weekend.
The forecast for the weekend looks to be on the complex side, which is always the case when we get the cold air wedged up against the mountains. Saturday, there will be a mix of precipitation move into the area ahead of a warm front which will have to overtake the cold pool of air at the surface. The precip starts off as snow, then a change over to sleet, then to freezing rain then to rain then some fog (the fog may not be much as the winds may be too robust to keep the fog in place).
Once the wedge is busted, a brief period of warm air sets in, then followed quickly by the cold front, then wind from the NW and the big chill. This will mark the end of our mild pattern for a while, so “old man winter” is coming in for a visit and may stick around for a while. Highs next week will be in the 30s both Monday and Tuesday while overnight lows will dip into the teens. Time to get ready for a blast of wintry cold air.
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