Pinpoint Weather: Summer pattern well defined this week.


All the ingredients are here for a typical summer weather week as there is a tropical disturbance to discuss, hazy sunshine, temps in the 80s, showers and thunderstorms as well as humidity.  So now all we have to do is separate them and time them out. 

Tuesday will be defined by a mix of clouds and sunshine with the temperatures reaching the low to middle 80s.  There will be some showers and storm moving north from the Carolinas into the Mountain empire during the afternoon. The storms should stay along the foothills and west into the mountains as the Piedmont will stay relatively quiet. Although the temps will be in the upper 80s east of the Parkway so there may be a pop-up storm late in the afternoon.

Wednesday will see a cold front move through the region with the added cast-off tropical moisture from what once was Cristobal.  The remnant tropical flow will be fairly rained out by the time the front gets to the Commonwealth, but there will still be a good deal of rain with the event, so there may be some pockets of minor flooding or flash flooding.  Overall, the rainy and stormy conditions will push through late in the day and into the night.  Some of the rain will linger along the coastal plain so there will be a bit of a muggy aspect to the day Thursday.

Thursday will see a mixture of clouds and sunshine and a bit cooler temperature profile after the front.  Expect to see hazy sunshine once the rain clears. The rain is expected to be clear of our eastern counties before sunrise so the day will be officially rain free.  The mountains and foothills will be in the 70s while the Piedmont and along the Parkway will be in the 80s.

A humid and hazy pattern sets in for the rest of the week and into the weekend with the potential for isolated storms to arrive in the heat of the day.  Typical Summer pattern.

As for the tropics, Cristobal will move up the Mississippi River Valley and make it to Canada by Wednesday.  As mentioned above, the tropical moisture will get intercepted by the typical west to east flow so the front that arrives will have a bit more gusto when it comes to rainfall amounts.  An area of low pressure develops west to the Mississippi and merge with the remnant low of Cristobal over the Great Lakes.  Most of the energy will be dissipated by the middle of the week, but I am keeping an eye on the rain on Wednesday as it may be heavy at times.

Stay Safe and healthy.

John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist

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