Persistent pattern of afternoon and evening storms
Not much change in the thinking as far as the forecast is concerned. The Bermuda High in the western Atlantic that will continue to tap into the moisture from the Gulf Stream and channel it our direction. The cold front will become stationary over the region and provide the focal point for the storms. A few waves in the upper levels of the atmosphere will allow us to get even more widespread rain as we push into the weekend and beyond. Bottom line is that there is a chance for showers and storms each day with periods of heavy rain and gusty winds. It is time to start thinking about the flooding potential.
There is another aspect to the long-range forecast to discuss and that would be the tropics. Off the coast of Florida, near the Bahamas, there is an area of disturbance that is going to produce a good deal of rain for that area. Although not forecast to become a tropical cyclone, it will be a decent rain maker. The thinking is that the area of low pressure (the disturbance I mentioned) will ride up the coast and interact with the stalled front over the Commonwealth. The distance between the two will be enough so that we should only get some minor uptick in the stormy activity over the weekend or early next week, but it is an addition to the weather equation.
As for the temperatures, we are looking at a bit cooler conditions on Friday as there should be a good deal more cloud cover. Highs will be 4 or 5 degrees cooler than normal, but still in the low 80s. Over the weekend we should be in the mid-80s most locations east of the foothills and the upper-70s in the mountains.
Flooding becomes a concern each day as the storms will be good rain makers. The thought of some good old-fashioned soaking rains will not be the general rule, but the gully washers are more in line with what I expect. Stay alert for rising waters in your neighborhood when these storms pop up. Gusty winds will also be an ingredient so we may see more trees blown over and power outages as a result.
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