The 11am update from the National Hurricane Center shows that Dorian has gained a little bit of strength and is currently a category two hurricane bordering on category 3. Maximum sustained winds have risen slightly since the early morning update moving from 105mph with higher gusts to sustained winds of 110mph. Category 3 winds begin at 111mph so with additional strengthening forecast over the next few days Dorian is expected to become a major hurricane today. Dorian will likely remain an extremely dangerous hurricane while it moves near the northwestern Bahamas over the weekend and approaches the Florida Peninsula late Monday. The hurricane force wind field has expanded since yesterday when they were extending only 15 miles from the center. At this point the hurricane force winds extend 25 miles from the center of the storm and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center of the system.
The center of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 24.5 north, longitude 69.8 West. Dorian is moving toward the northwest near 10mph. A slower west-northwestward to westward motion should begin tonight and continue into early next week. On this track, the core of Dorian should move over the Atlantic well north of the southeastern and central Bahamas today and tomorrow, be near or over the northwestern Bahamas on Sunday, and be near the Florida peninsula late Monday.
The current NHC forecast track has Dorian making landfall on the central east coast of Florida later Labor Day Monday as an extremely dangerous, major category 3 or 4 hurricane and continuing to move inland over the peninsula into Wednesday weakening to a category 1 hurricane as it takes a turn to the northeast.