11 P.M. UPDATE: Forward movement has increased a bit from the earlier today and is now moving at 7 mph to the NNW. Max winds the same as the past several hours, the eye is much wider and less organized and the coastline is taking a beating from Cape Canaveral to Near Jacksonville. Forecast expect Dorian to maintain Cat 2 status until at least Thursday. My guess is that the coastline from Charleston, SC to Moorehead City, NC will get hit the hardest.
10 P.M. UPDATE: No changes to the strength or movement of Hurricane Dorian; however, one piece of information to note is that the pressure of Dorian has dropped from 959 millibars to 958 millibars during the 8 – 9 P.M. time frame. While the change is minute, it does indicate that the storm has stopped its weakening trend and possibly has started a slight strengthening phase. We’ll watch the next several updates to determine whether or not some slight strengthening is occurring.
8 P.M. UPDATE: The latest intermediate advisory from the National Hurricane Center hasn’t changed much. Max winds are still at 110 mph (Category 2). Central pressure is still at 959 millibars. The storm is located 110 miles East of Cape Canaveral, Florida.
There are no changes to any watches or warnings along the coast.
Evacuations continue for portions of the Outer Banks of North Carolina in preparation for tropical storm winds to possibly arrive in the area as early as Thursday afternoon.
Further south into South Carolina, hurricane-force winds are expected Thursday morning or early-afternoon from near Charleston to Myrtle Beach.
Affects should start to be felt in coastal Virginia Thursday night into overnight Friday morning. Tropical Storm-force winds (39 mph – 73 mph) are possible along the immediate coast from False Cape State Park through Virginia Beach and north through the Chesapeake Bay Bridge-Tunnel to Chincoteague.
As Dorian pushes along the North Carolina/Virginia coast, it’s expected to quickly pick up its forward speed as it finally pulls away from the mainland. By the weekend, the storm should finally be a memory, no longer producing direct impacts.
6 P.M. UPDATE: Hurricane Dorian continues to churn off the Florida coast, but its forward speed is finally gaining momentum, pushing it away from Grand Bahama Island.
The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center keeps maximum sustained winds at 110 mph. The storm is located 105 miles East of Vero Beach, Florida or 125 miles ESE of Cape Canaveral, Florida. Central pressure continues to climb up to 959 millibars (the higher the pressure, the weaker the storm is getting). The key for our friends in and around Freeport in the Bahamas is that the storm is moving to the NW at 6 mph.
Lots of changes to watches and warnings with this advisory.
The Storm Surge Warning has been extended northward to Surf City, North Carolina.
The Storm Surge Watch has been extended northward to Duck, North Carolina, including the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers.
A Hurricane Warning has been issued from Savannah River to Edisto Beach, South Carolina, and from South Santee River, South Carolina, to Surf City, North Carolina.
The Hurricane Watch has been extended north of Duck, North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia border.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from the North Carolina/Virginia border northward to Chincoteague, Virginia, and for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point southward.
The Hurricane Warning has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning from Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet, Florida.
The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued south of Jupiter Inlet.
4 P.M. Update: Hurricane Dorian is finally making a move away from the Bahamas at a bit more noticeable speed. It is only 5 mph, but that is an increase in forward motion and good news for folks in the Bahamas. Still expected to batter the Grand Bahama Island but with less intensity than the past 36 hours. As a Cat 2 Dorian has sustained wind speeds of 110 mph and gusts to 125. He is expected to say a Cat 2 as he hugs the coast of Florida and then north off the coast of the Outer Banks. Strong storm surge, heavy rain and near hurricane force winds are expected along the Carolina Coasts.
Impacts for Virginia will be confined to the coastal plain, but we may start to see gusty winds as early as Thursday in our Eastern counties of Halifax, Charlotte and Appomattox.
The current NHC forecast track has Dorian making a very close pass up the East Coast for the next several days. Anyone with interests along the coast or plans to head to the beach for vacation needs to be paying very close attention to the NHC forecast track as extremely dangerous surf, rip currents, and storm surge will be occurring throughout the week.