Frost on the Pumpkin tonight?


Fall finally getting into gear meteorologically

Winds are relaxing and the region is looking at a nice fall weekend. Chilly conditions overnight with some locations dipping into the sub-freezing zone in our higher elevated locations. Overall a pleasant and seasonable weekend ahead. Rain may help our drought out a bit Sunday morning.

A Frost Advisory has been issued by the National Weather Service for portions of the NRV and Highlands tonight. Temperatures may drop to near freezing for a period of time that may be detrimental to sensitive vegetation if not covered or protected. This is our first Frost Advisory of the Season and it comes on the heels of our first snowflakes (around Snowshoe) that fell overnight.

Friday will be sunny and breezy with a lovely day on the ledger. Highs will be a bit warmer as we get back into the mid-60s. A few degrees warmer on Saturday. Sunday may be a challenge as far as the forecast goes, as a storm will move up the SE corner of the country and push off-shore Sunday afternoon around North Carolina. We may see some rain from that event, mainly in the eastern Piedmont locations but there should be a good deal of cloud cover coming in late Saturday and the rain should develop overnight into Sunday morning. The position of the low will have it provide us with rain on the western half of the circulation or the wrap around side. Again, depending on the location or track of the storm will determine how far west the rain will extend. My thoughts right now are that we should see rain Sunday morning as far west as the Foothills. Soaking rain looks good for us again. This storm is just now forming in the Gulf of Mexico so it may develop into a Tropical system so there may be a good deal of moisture available. Track still looks a bit too far east for a direct hit, but the glancing blow will still provide good rain in our eastern two thirds of the viewing area.

Looks quiet on Monday then some rain returns on Tuesday from a front sliding in from the west.

Finally getting some Fall-like weather. Enjoy the fall foliage this weekend, may be pretty close to prime viewing.

As for the drought, the updated Drought Monitor is out and as expected there is very little change. The recent rain from Wednesday is not calculated into this release as the data is compiled from Tuesday to Tuesday.

Stay Safe.

John Carroll Chief Meteorologist

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