Barry breaking up, heat continues, Storms on the way

Weather

Heat continues, rain chances increase, Barry dissipates a bit

The mercury in the thermometer will continue to breach the 90° mark as our atmosphere maintains an above average heat moniker.  The issue now becomes the precipitation.  The easy answer would be that due to the close proximity of Barry we should start to see an increase in our afternoon storms in both coverage area and intensity.  Actually, that is the correct answer, but to dive deeper into that is the next step.

It still appears likely that there will be a good deal of rain heading our direction and the timing is more than likely late Wednesday night into Thursday.  The amount of rain is still up in the air as the models are trying to push the remnants of Barry much father north, we each run.  The end result will be the opportunity for us to get a bit more widespread rain on Thursday morning but not as aggressive as originally thought.  An inch or two at the moment for Wednesday – Thursday seems a safe bet.  I will of course adjust as the week moves along.

The other issue is the heat.  Temperatures in Roanoke have been at or above 90 for the past five days and if my forecast is to be believed, we are looking at that trend to continue into the next seven at least.  As we get to the weekend, we are going to be dealing with heat indices in the triple digit range in Roanoke.  Southside locations will already have seen that by then and possibly some heat advisories are in store for the area over this upcoming weekend.

Should see scattered showers and storms both Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the 90s.  Barry remnants will arrive early Thursday, but as mentioned above, may be a bit less than earlier forecast.

John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist

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