CNU survey: Democrats lead in polling for Virginia governor, lieutenant governor and AG races

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NEWPORT NEWS, Va. (WAVY) — A new survey released Thursday by Christopher Newport University shows Virginia’s Democratic candidates for governor, lieutenant governor and attorney general hold significant leads ahead of the 2021 elections in November.

Former governor and Democratic candidate Terry McAuliffe leads Republican candidate Glenn Youngkin in polling in the governor’s race, 50 percent to 41 percent, according to the CNU survey.

The polling shows McAuliffe has strong support from women (55 percent to 36 percent), younger voters (52 percent to 34 percent), and voters 50 years & older (49 percent to 44 percent). McAuliffe’s strongest support in the commonwealth comes from Northern Virginia (59 percent to 33 percent), the Richmond area (48 percent to 40 percent) and Hampton Roads (52 percent to 41 percent).

The survey showed that Youngkin has solid support from the Republican base with 95 percent. He is strongest in south/southwestern portion of Virginia (53 percent to 37 percent).

“These numbers reflect a state that continues to trend blue in presidential and statewide elections as demographic shifts endure in the Commonwealth,” said Wason Center Research Director Dr. Rebecca Bromley-Trujillo. “While there is still room for movement in the race, Youngkin has a tightrope to walk between Trump supporters and more moderate voters across the suburbs of Virginia.”

In the race for lieutenant governor, Democratic Del. Hala Ayala leads former Republican Del. Winsome Sears 52 percent to 42 percent, with 6 percent undecided. Ayala’s support is driven primarily by younger voters (57 percent to 35 percent), Black voters (84 percent to 6 percent) and women (55 percent to 38 percent).

Sears holds the Republican base with 95%, voters in the south/southwest region (54 percent to 37 percent) and a slight majority of white voters (51 percent to 44 percent). 

Current Attorney General and Democratic candidate Mark Herring, who is seeking a third term, leads Republican Del. Jason Miyares, 53 percent to 41 percent, with 6 percent undecided.

The results of the survey are based on 800 Virginia registered voters who are likely general election voters, including 277 on a landline and 523 on cell phones. The survey was conducted from from Sunday, Aug. 15 through Monday, Aug. 23.

Read the full report from the Wason Center here.

Election Day is Nov. 2 and in-person early voting starts Sept. 17.

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