Pattern of heat and storms continues


Persistent pattern of heat and late day storms lingers

As we push forward through the work week there continues to be the persistent heat and humidity leading up to the pop-up storms in the afternoon. Highs once again will be in the upper 80s to low 90s with ample low-level moisture for muggy conditions.  There is relief in sight from the heat and humidity as well as the storms but we have to wait until Friday before that will occur.

Tonight, we may see more storms lingering into the midnight hour with showery characteristics as opposed to storms.  The storms in the afternoon of Wednesday are of the hit and miss variety, but where they hit, they hit hard with a good deal of rain and gusty winds.  The lack of organization to all these storms makes it tough to pinpoint the region expecting the storms, but rule of thumb indicates that late day storms will usually develop in the hotter zones of the Piedmont.  Urban locations also are warmer than rural so storms also tend to develop around more metropolitan areas.  The gust fronts generated by the cells then travel in a variety of directions depending on the storms location and help ignite more storms away from the parent storm.  It is chaotic yet consistent. 

As for the forecast. Look for storms to arrive later in the day on Thursday, possibly well into the afternoon or early evening.  There should be a few spotty storms but for the most part Thursday may not be all that aggressive but we can’t rule out a rogue intense storm or two this time of year.  Friday will be mostly cloudy and there will be a couple waves of rain.  The first will be in the overnight time frame then maybe a little clearing, followed by a bit more widespread rain later in the day.  The second wave will be associated with a cold front and that will be our heat buster. 

Saturday looks quiet but there should be a good mix of clouds overhead with mainly a few pokes of sunshine.  The temps will be noticeably cooler as I expect only highs in the 70s.  This will be true on Sunday as well.  The high pressure cell behind the front will be over New England or even Nova Scotia by Sunday so a cool and cloudy wedge may be in the offing for us. 

Monday and Tuesday look dry for now, but as we all know that will be adjusted as we approach next week.  Rain is slated for Wednesday at the moment.

Stay safe.

John Carroll
Chief Meteorologist

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