SALEM, Va. (WFXR) — Between Aug. 7 and Aug. 16, the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research (IPOR) at Roanoke College conducted interviewed 640 Virginians as part of a poll about topics ranging from the state level to the international level.

According to Roanoke College’s IPOR, the survey had a margin of error of 4.5% and addressed feeling about formal and current officials, the war in Ukraine, abortion, and Gov. Glenn Youngkin’s national spotlight.

Here are the results of the August poll, as opposed to in May, from Roanoke College’s IPOR:

Approvals

  • Youngkin’s approval rating has increased from 53% to 55%, with the disapproval rating still at 35%
  • Republican party rating has improved from 75% to 86%
  • President Joe Biden’s approval rating increased from 37% to 39%

Favorable/Unfavorable

  • 51% of Virginians have a favorable view of the governor
  • 37% in the opposite view
  • Former Gov. Ralph Northam’s favorability increased from 34% to 41%
  • Biden’s favorability has increased from 38% to 41%, with his unfavorability percentage being lower from 37% to 34%
  • Virginians’ favorability of former President Donald Trump has increased from 34% to 37%, with his disapproval rated down 58% from 59%

Direction of America

When asked about the direction of the country, respondents said the following:

  • 25% said that things are going in the right direction (up from 21%)
  • 72% replied that things have gotten off on the wrong track (down from 77%)

Direction of Virginia

When asked about the direction of the Commonwealth, respondents said the following:

  • 51% said that we are heading in the right direction
  • 45% replied that we are going in the wrong direction

Abortion

  • 40% feel that abortion should be legal under all circumstances (up from 35%)
  • 48% believe that abortion should be legal under some circumstances (down from 53%)
  • 10% favor a total ban on abortions
  • 35% agree with the court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade (up from 32%)
  • 60% disagree with the court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade (up from 57%)

The Supreme Court

  • 37% have a favorable view of the Supreme Court (down from 46%)
  • 53% have an unfavorable view of the Supreme Court

Youngkin’s potential candidacy in the presidential election

  • 36% think he should run for president in 2024
  • 54% do not think he should run for president in 2024
  • 49% of Republicans feel he should seek the party’s nomination for president

Trump v. Youngkin

  • 28% of Republicans would vote for Youngkin
  • 62% of Republicans would vote for Trump
  • 9% would vote for someone else or are unsure

Russia and Ukraine

  • 73% continue to follow the news very or somewhat closely on the War in Ukraine (down from 76%)
  • 70% of Republicans follow the news on the war in Ukraine closely
  • 80% of Democrats follow the news on the war in Ukraine closely
  • 64% believe the worst is yet to come from the war in Ukraine (down from 66%)
  • 58% of Republicans believe the worst is yet to come (down from 70%), while the Democratic opinion is still unchanged
  • 45% said the U.S. should offer more support to Ukraine, but not at the risk of our country getting into a war with Russia
  • 36% said the U.S. is already doing enough to support Ukraine
  • 17% said the U.D. should offer more support even if it risks getting our country into war with Russia

“The main ‘good news’ in this poll is that sentiment toward government officials and their job approval is up,” says Dr. David Taylor, director of IPOR and the Roanoke College Poll. “The country may now be moving in a more positive direction based on what respondents say even though people are still not happy.” 

“While the Republican primary in Virginia for president is well over a year away, an early matchup between Governor Youngkin and former President Trump would be a landslide victory for Trump if Republicans in Virginia voted today. And just shy of a majority of the state’s Republicans even think that he should run. The Roanoke College Poll will continue to ask residents about Youngkin’s national presence and potential run in future polls.” 

“Only the country’s Supreme Court saw an increase in unfavorability among Virginians, not surprising given the June decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Almost nine in 10 Virginians believe that abortion should be legal under some or all circumstances, which has not changed in the last three months. Two-thirds of Democrats say that abortion should be legal under all circumstances and left to be a personal decision, and just nearly two in 10 Republicans favor an outright ban.” 

“Slightly fewer Virginians are paying attention to the ongoing war in the Ukraine according to our findings. As the war is about to enter its fifth month, just about three-quarters of us feel that the worst is still yet to come.” 

Statement released on Aug. 30, 2022 by Roanoke College

According to the IPOR at Roanoke College, the poll included telephone interviews conducted in English, which comprised 401 respondents, and the other 239 responses were drawn from an online panel of Virginians. All 640 residents interviewed for this poll were 18 or older, reportedly.

Officials say the landline sample consisted of random-digit numbers generation to the proportion of Virginia’s population, so that all residents’ numbers — both listed and unlisted — had a chance of inclusion. The cellphone samples, which comprised 54% of the completed telephone interviews, were purchased from Marketing Systems Group. Lucid, LLC, facilitated the online panel.

Questions of the entire sample are subject to an error margin of about plus or minus 4.5% at the 95% level of confidence, meaning that out of 100 samples, 95 of them should have no more than 4.5 percentage points above or below the figure that would be obtained by interviewing all Virginia adults who have a phone or telephone. However, where subgroups are reported, the margin of error is higher.

To ensure that different regions of the Commonwealth were proportionately represented, quotas were used, and to match Virginia census data, Roanoke College says the data in this poll was statistically weighted for gender, race, and age. The margin of error reflects the design effect, which was 1.378.

The IPOR reportedly follows the American Association for Public Opinion Research’s Code of Professional Ethics and Practices. The institute is also a charter member of that association’s Transparency Initiative.   

The questionnaire, topline, and crosstabs are available for public viewing. For more information about Roanoke College’s IPOR, click here.